BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Texas St-San Marcos
Class: 1A Class Rank: 84 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 150.96
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W * 159.82 52 27 1A 123 ( 4- 8) Eastern Michigan 8.86 10.10 16.14
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 166.75 43 36 1A 63 ( 7- 6) Texas-San Antonio 15.79 5.97 -8.79
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 144.47 15 34 1A 48 ( 8- 5) Arizona St -6.49 -1.60 -12.51
4 09/20/2025 Home W 153.67 35 3 1B 64 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St 2.71 25.39 29.29
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 141.89 30 31 1A 109 ( 7- 6) Arkansas St -9.07 19.37 8.07
6 10/11/2025 Home L * * 135.66 41 48 1A 98 ( 8- 6) Troy -15.30 5.67 8.30
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 145.20 37 40 1A 94 ( 5- 7) Marshall -5.76 -5.88 2.76
8 10/28/2025 Home L * * 132.58 20 52 1A 22 (12- 2) James Madison -18.38 -8.03 -13.62
9 11/08/2025 Away L * * 139.07 39 42 1A 113 ( 6- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette -11.89 3.44 8.89
10 11/15/2025 Away W * * 172.24 41 14 1A 100 ( 7- 6) Southern Miss 21.28 -6.45 5.72
11 11/22/2025 Home W * * 144.13 31 14 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe -6.83 20.13 23.83
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 160.55 49 26 1A 110 ( 4- 8) South Alabama 9.59 8.45 13.41
13 01/02/2026 Neutral W * 166.43 41 10 1A 125 ( 5- 8) Rice 15.47 11.77 15.53
Averages 150.96 36.5 29.0
Best game: 172.24 = 27 point win over Southern Miss
Worst game: 132.58 = 32 point loss to James Madison
Team stdev: 13.03